In parts of South America, vitamin-A deficiency is a serious health problem, especially among children. In one region, agriculturists are attempting to improve nutrition by encouraging farmers to plant a new variety of sweet potato called SPK004 that is rich in beta-carotene, which the body converts into vitamin A. The plan has good chances of success, since sweet potato is a staple of the region's diet and agriculture, and the varieties currently grown contain little beta-carotene.
Which of the following, if true, most strongly supports the prediction that the plan will succeed?
| Line | The argument for “monetizing”—or putting a |
| monetary value on—ecosystem functions may be | |
| stated thus: Concern about the depletion of natural | |
| resources is widespread, but this concern, in the | |
| (5) | absence of an economic argument for conservation, |
| has not translated into significant conservational | |
| progress. Some critics blame this impasse on | |
| environmentalists, whom they believe fail to address | |
| the economic issues of environmental degradation. | |
| (10) | Conservation can appear unprofitable when compared |
| with the economic returns derived from converting | |
| natural assets (pristine coastlines, for example) into | |
| explicitly commercial ones (such as resort hotels). | |
| But according to David Pearce, that illusion stems | |
| (15) | from the fact that “services” provided by ecological |
| systems are not traded on the commodities market, | |
| and thus have no readily quantifiable value. To | |
| remedy this, says Pearce, one has to show that all | |
| ecosystems have economic value—indeed, that all | |
| (20) | ecological services are economic services. Tourists |
| visiting wildlife preserves, for example, create | |
| jobs and generate income for national economies; | |
| undisturbed forests and wetlands regulate water | |
| runoff and act as water-purifying systems, saving | |
| (25) | millions of dollars worth of damage to property |
| and to marine ecosystems. In Gretchen Daily’s | |
| view, monetization, while unpopular with many | |
| environmentalists, reflects the dominant role that | |
| economic considerations play in human behavior, | |
| (30) | and the expression of economic value in a common |
| currency helps inform environmental decision-making | |
| processes. |
| Line | When asteroids collide, some collisions cause |
| an asteroid to spin faster; others slow it down. If | |
| asteroids are all monoliths—single rocks—undergoing | |
| random collisions, a graph of their rotation rates | |
| (5) | should show a bell-shaped distribution with statistical |
| “tails” of very fast and very slow rotators. If asteroids | |
| are rubble piles, however, the tail representing the | |
| very fast rotators would be missing, because any | |
| loose aggregate spinning faster than once every few | |
| (10) | hours (depending on the asteroid’s bulk density) |
| would fly apart. Researchers have discovered that | |
| all but five observed asteroids obey a strict limit on | |
| rate of rotation. The exceptions are all smaller than | |
| 200 meters in diameter, with an abrupt cutoff for | |
| (15) | asteroids larger than that. |
| The evident conclusion—that asteroids larger than | |
| 200 meters across are multicomponent structures or | |
| rubble piles—agrees with recent computer modeling | |
| of collisions, which also finds a transition at that | |
| (20) | diameter. A collision can blast a large asteroid to bits, |
| but after the collision those bits will usually move | |
| slower than their mutual escape velocity. Over several | |
| hours, gravity will reassemble all but the fastest | |
| pieces into a rubble pile. Because collisions among | |
| (25) | asteroids are relatively frequent, most large bodies |
| have already suffered this fate. Conversely, most | |
| small asteroids should be monolithic, because impact | |
| fragments easily escape their feeble gravity. |

The table shows the numbers of packages shipped daily by each of five companies during a 4-day period. The standard deviation of the numbers of packages shipped daily during the period was greatest for which of the five companies?
| Line | There are recent reports of apparently drastic |
| declines in amphibian populations and of extinctions | |
| of a number of the worlds endangered amphibian | |
| species. These declines, if real, may be signs of a | |
| (5) | general trend toward extinction, and many |
| environmentalists have claimed that immediate | |
| environmental action is necessary to remedy | |
| this amphibian crisis, which, in their view, is an | |
| indicator of general and catastrophic environmental | |
| (10) | degradation due to human activity. |
| To evaluate these claims, it is useful to make a | |
| preliminary distinction that is far too often ignored. | |
| A declining population should not be confused with | |
| an endangered one. An endangered population is | |
| (15) | always rare, almost always small, and, by definition, |
| under constant threat of extinction even without a | |
| proximate cause in human activities. Its disappearance, | |
| however unfortunate, should come as no great | |
| surprise. Moreover, chance events—which may | |
| (20) | indicate nothing about the direction of trends in |
| population size—may lead to its extinction. The | |
| probability of extinction due to such random factors | |
| depends on the population size and is independent of | |
| the prevailing direction of change in that size. | |
| (25) | For biologists, population declines are potentially |
| more worrisome than extinctions. Persistent | |
| declines, especially in large populations, indicate a | |
| changed ecological context. Even here, distinctions | |
| must again be made among declines that are only | |
| (30) | apparent (in the sense that they are part of habitual |
| cycles or of normal fluctuations), declines that take | |
| a population to some lower but still acceptable | |
| level, and those that threaten extinction (e.g., by | |
| taking the number of individuals below the minimum | |
| (35) | viable population). Anecdotal reports of population |
| decreases cannot distinguish among these | |
| possibilities, and some amphibian populations have | |
| shown strong fluctuations in the past. | |
| It is indisputably true that there is simply not | |
| (40) | enough long-term scientific data on amphibian |
| populations to enable researchers to identify real | |
| declines in amphibian populations. Many fairly | |
| common amphibian species declared all but extinct | |
| after severe declines in the 1950s and 1960s | |
| (45) | have subsequently recovered, and so might |
| the apparently declining populations that have | |
| generated the current appearance of an amphibian | |
| crisis. Unfortunately, long-term data will not soon | |
| be forthcoming, and postponing environmental | |
| (50) | action while we wait for it may doom species and |
| whole ecosystems to extinction. |