[Problem Solving]
试题详情
题目:
A coin that is tossed will land heads or tails, and each outcome has equal probability. What is the probability that the coin will land heads at least once on two tosses?
选项:
A、1/4
B、1/3
C、1/2
D、2/3
E、3/4
答案:
E
Line | There are recent reports of apparently drastic |
declines in amphibian populations and of extinctions | |
of a number of the worlds endangered amphibian | |
species. These declines, if real, may be signs of a | |
(5) | general trend toward extinction, and many |
environmentalists have claimed that immediate | |
environmental action is necessary to remedy | |
this amphibian crisis, which, in their view, is an | |
indicator of general and catastrophic environmental | |
(10) | degradation due to human activity. |
To evaluate these claims, it is useful to make a | |
preliminary distinction that is far too often ignored. | |
A declining population should not be confused with | |
an endangered one. An endangered population is | |
(15) | always rare, almost always small, and, by definition, |
under constant threat of extinction even without a | |
proximate cause in human activities. Its disappearance, | |
however unfortunate, should come as no great | |
surprise. Moreover, chance events—which may | |
(20) | indicate nothing about the direction of trends in |
population size—may lead to its extinction. The | |
probability of extinction due to such random factors | |
depends on the population size and is independent of | |
the prevailing direction of change in that size. | |
(25) | For biologists, population declines are potentially |
more worrisome than extinctions. Persistent | |
declines, especially in large populations, indicate a | |
changed ecological context. Even here, distinctions | |
must again be made among declines that are only | |
(30) | apparent (in the sense that they are part of habitual |
cycles or of normal fluctuations), declines that take | |
a population to some lower but still acceptable | |
level, and those that threaten extinction (e.g., by | |
taking the number of individuals below the minimum | |
(35) | viable population). Anecdotal reports of population |
decreases cannot distinguish among these | |
possibilities, and some amphibian populations have | |
shown strong fluctuations in the past. | |
It is indisputably true that there is simply not | |
(40) | enough long-term scientific data on amphibian |
populations to enable researchers to identify real | |
declines in amphibian populations. Many fairly | |
common amphibian species declared all but extinct | |
after severe declines in the 1950s and 1960s | |
(45) | have subsequently recovered, and so might |
the apparently declining populations that have | |
generated the current appearance of an amphibian | |
crisis. Unfortunately, long-term data will not soon | |
be forthcoming, and postponing environmental | |
(50) | action while we wait for it may doom species and |
whole ecosystems to extinction. |
Line | Ecoefficiency (measures to minimize environmental |
impact through the reduction or elimination of waste | |
from production processes) has become a goal for | |
companies worldwide, with many realizing significant | |
(5) | cost savings from such innovations. Peter Senge and |
Goran Carstedt see this development as laudable | |
but suggest that simply adopting ecoefficiency | |
innovations could actually worsen environmental | |
stresses in the future. Such innovations reduce | |
(10) | production waste but do not alter the number of |
products manufactured nor the waste generated | |
from their use and discard; indeed, most companies | |
invest in ecoefficiency improvements in order to | |
increase profits and growth. Moreover, there is no | |
(15) | guarantee that increased economic growth from |
ecoefficiency will come in similarly ecoefficient | |
ways, since in todays global markets, greater profits | |
may be turned into investment capital that could easily | |
be reinvested in old-style eco-inefficient industries. | |
(20) | Even a vastly more ecoefficient industrial system |
could, were it to grow much larger, generate more | |
total waste and destroy more habitat and species | |
than would a smaller, less ecoefficient economy. | |
Senge and Carstedt argue that to preserve the global | |
(25) | environment and sustain economic growth, |
businesses must develop a new systemic approach | |
that reduces total material use and total accumulated | |
waste. Focusing exclusively on ecoefficiency, which | |
offers a compelling business case according to | |
(30) | established thinking, may distract companies from |
pursuing radically different products and business | |
models. |
Line | Conodonts, the spiky phosphatic remains (bones |
and teeth composed of calcium phosphate) of | |
tiny marine animals that probably appeared about | |
520 million years ago, were once among the most | |
(5) | controversial of fossils. Both the nature of the |
organism to which the remains belonged and the | |
function of the remains were unknown. However, | |
since the 1981 discovery of fossils preserving not | |
just the phosphatic elements but also other remains | |
(10) | of the tiny soft-bodied animals (also called conodonts) |
that bore them, scientists' reconstructions of the | |
animals' anatomy have had important implications | |
for hypotheses concerning the development of the | |
vertebrate skeleton. | |
(15) | The vertebrate skeleton had traditionally been |
regarded as a defensive development, champions of | |
this view postulating that it was only with the much | |
later evolution of jaws that vertebrates became | |
predators. The first vertebrates, which were soft- | |
(20) | bodied, would have been easy prey for numerous |
invertebrate carnivores, especially if these early | |
vertebrates were sedentary suspension feeders. | |
Thus, traditionalists argued, these animals developed | |
coverings of bony scales or plates, and teeth were | |
(25) | secondary features, adapted from the protective |
bony scales. Indeed, external skeletons of this | |
type are common among the well-known fossils of | |
ostracoderms, jawless vertebrates that existed from | |
approximately 500 to 400 million years ago. | |
(30) | However, other paleontologists argued that many of |
the definitive characteristics of vertebrates, such as | |
paired eyes and muscular and skeletal adaptations | |
for active life, would not have evolved unless the | |
(35) | first vertebrates were predatory. Teeth were more |
primitive than external armor according to this view, | |
and the earliest vertebrates were predators. | |
The stiffening notochord along the back of the | |
body, V-shaped muscle blocks along the sides, | |
(40) | and posterior tail fins help to identify conodonts as |
among the most primitive of vertebrates. The lack of | |
any mineralized structures apart from the elements | |
in the mouth indicates that conodonts were more | |
primitive than the armored jawless fishes such as the | |
(45) | ostracoderms. It now appears that the hard parts that |
first evolved in the mouth of an animal improved its | |
efficiency as a predator, and that aggression rather | |
than protection was the driving force behind the origin | |
of the vertebrate skeleton. |