Critical Reasoning
试题详情
题目：
In the country of Marut, the Foreign Trade Agency’s records were reviewed in 1994 in light of information then newly available about neighboring Goro. The review revealed that in every year since 1963, the agency’s projection of what Goro’s gross national product (GNP) would be five years later was a serious underestimate. The review also revealed that in every year since 1963, the agency estimated Goro’s GNP for the previous year—a Goro state secret—very accurately.
Of the following claims, which is most strongly supported by the statements given?
Of the following claims, which is most strongly supported by the statements given?
选项:
A、Goro’s GNP fluctuated greatly between 1963 and 1994.
B、Prior to 1995, Goro had not released data intended to mislead the agency in making its five-year projections.
C、The amount by which the agency underestimated the GNP it projected for Goro tended to increase over time.
D、Even before the new information came to light, the agency had reason to think that at least some of the five-year projections it had made were inaccurate.
E、The agency’s five-year projections of Goro’s GNP had no impact on economic planning in Marut.
答案:
D
提问：
这道题留下了B和D中错选了B. 这道题是个归纳题，读出来的意思是低估了前五年的，并且对前一年的估计是准确的。请降低原文的阅读能力，分析一下B的逻辑错误，谢谢
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提问：
错选了C选项，这个题目逻辑链是这个机构对G这个国家未来五年内的国民生产总值的预测不准确，但是对前一年的很准确。 C选项，预测G国GNP的不准确数量随着时间增加。 前一年准确，未来五年不准确，说明准确性随着时间增加下降，就是不准确数量增加。 请问一下Tina老师，我的思路哪里出了问题，谢谢了！
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